This is one of the rare UFC title fights where both competitors are more dangerous on the ground than on the feet. Dern enters as the champion after capturing the vacant title against Virna Jandiroba and brings arguably the best pure jiu-jitsu credentials in the division. Robertson, meanwhile, arrives on a five-fight winning streak with victories over Amanda Lemos, Marina Rodriguez, and Luana Pinheiro.
Mackenzie Dern (Champion)
Last 3 Bouts
Win. Virna Jandiroba – Unanimous Decision (5 Rounds)
Win. Amanda Ribas – Submission (Armbar, Round 3)
Win. Loopy Godinez – Unanimous Decision
Strengths
World-class Brazilian jiu-jitsu
Dangerous submission arsenal from every position
Improved boxing and striking combinations
Strong championship experience
Ability to finish fights instantly on the ground
Three-fight winning streak entering the bout
Weaknesses
Takedown entries can be inconsistent
Can struggle against opponents who control distance
Sometimes relies heavily on grappling success
Defensive striking can be exploited by high-volume opponents
Keys to Victory
Force grappling exchanges early
Use pressure to back Robertson toward the fence
Establish top control whenever possible
Mix striking combinations with level changes
Avoid prolonged wrestling scrambles from bottom position
Gillian Robertson
Last 3 Bouts
Win. Amanda Lemos – Unanimous Decision
Win. Marina Rodriguez – TKO (Ground Strikes, Round 2)
Win. Luana Pinheiro – Unanimous Decision
Strengths
Elite submission game
Outstanding top control
Excellent chain wrestling
Strong cardio and pace
Five-fight winning streak
Extensive UFC experience
Weaknesses
Striking remains the weakest part of her game
Can struggle when forced to fight at range
Relies heavily on takedowns
Limited knockout threat compared to elite contenders
Keys to Victory
Use wrestling to dictate where the fight takes place
Avoid getting trapped underneath Dern
Force clinch exchanges against the cage
Maintain a high work rate over five rounds
Mix takedowns with ground-and-pound opportunities
Odds
Mackenzie Dern -218
Gillian Robertson +180
