Jake Matthews comes in looking to rebound after a tough submission loss to veteran Neil Magny, a fight where he controlled early grappling exchanges but was caught late in a scramble. Matthews remains a reliable grinder in the division, with his best success coming when he dictates position on the mat and controls rounds.
Carlston Harris, meanwhile, is searching for consistency after alternating wins and losses in recent outings. His submission win over Jeremiah Wells highlighted his dangerous grappling, but knockout losses to Khaos Williams and Santiago Ponzinibbio exposed defensive vulnerabilities when pressured.
Jake Matthews
Last 3 bouts:
Lose. Neil Magny – Submission (D’Arce Choke)
Win. Darian Weeks – Decision
Win. Philip Rowe – Decision
Strengths:
Strong wrestling and top control
High fight IQ and composure
Good cardio for sustained grappling
Dangerous when he establishes early control
Experience against UFC-level welterweights
Weaknesses:
Can be caught in submissions during scrambles
Struggles against powerful counterstrikers
Not a high-volume knockout threat
Occasionally fades in striking exchanges
Keys to victory:
Close distance early and secure takedowns
Maintain top pressure and avoid extended striking battles
Control pace and win minutes through grappling dominance
Carlston Harris
Last 3 bouts:
Lose. Santiago Ponzinibbio – TKO
Lose. Khaos Williams – KO
Win. Jeremiah Wells – Submission (Anaconda Choke)
Strengths:
Dangerous submission game (especially anaconda choke)
Long reach and solid striking range
Fast explosive finishes early in fights
Capable of changing fights instantly
Strong experience in UFC welterweight division
Weaknesses:
Inconsistent durability against heavy hitters
Can struggle with sustained wrestling pressure
Recent losses show defensive gaps under pressure
Cardio dips in extended fights
Keys to victory:
Keep the fight standing and punish Matthews on entries
Stuff early takedowns to avoid being controlled
Look for submission opportunities in scrambles
Odds
Jake Matthews. -425
Carlston Harris +330
